Trudeau’s Liberals, doing well in polls thanks to their handling of the coronavirus pandemic, sought to maximize that boost before an emerging second wave worsens and expensive aid programs begin to wind down.The government called a surprise confidence vote which, if lost, would have triggered a snap election.
But the left-leaning opposition New Democrats backed Trudeau, allowing the govt to survive.“I’m convinced that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was trying to find how to travel to an election,” New Democrats leader Jagmeet Singh told the Canadian Broadcasting Corp after the tense vote on Wednesday.“We’re not getting to allow them to attend an election simply because it suits them,” Singh said.
Trudeau, who has been in power since 2015, lost the favored vote last year after struggling through an ethics scandal and therefore the emergence of old pictures of him in blackface, leaving him with a minority government. meaning Trudeau must negotiate all legislation to win opposition support.
A majority government is independent but his handling of COVID-19 has put wind within the Liberals’ sails, and there's no thanks to predict how long it'll last.“If we glance at the 6-, 12-, 18-month horizon, there are an increasing number of uncertainties associated with the state of the economy and what happens with the pandemic,” said pollster Nik Nanos, founding father of Nanos Research.
The Liberals would win 38.5% of the vote today, consistent with Nanos Research, 6 points quite their main rivals, the Conservatives, which might be only enough to secure a majority.Getting there needs the New Democrats to prevent backing the govt , including the pre-Christmas fiscal update, which Liberals have said will include major spending plans.
Trudeau has insisted he doesn't want an election. Instead, he wants to pass pandemic aid and therefore the fiscal package to stimulate an economic recovery.“We don’t want an election. We didn’t want one yesterday. I don’t think Canadians want one,” a government source said on Thursday.Another government source said it's now up to the Liberals for instance they need to figure with opposition parties, but if the parties want to “derail (the government’s work), then we'd like a replacement mandate.”
Three provincial governments have sought early votes to maximize a bump in their popularity during the pandemic. One incumbent won and two more are expected to convert subsequent few days.Frank Graves, president of polling company EKOS Research, sees risks of a snap election this fall during the worsening second wave of the pandemic.“The dominant issue is that the pandemic and we’ve reached a crisis stage. That factor could weigh heavily on how voters make their decisions,” Graves said. “If you are doing (an election) within the spring ... the worst is behind us, and that i think Trudeau would be during a strong position to win.”
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